Analysis · Floor speech · beta

Greg McLean

692 words · 38 sentences · 49 clauses

Statement grade
A
Average 91 / 100
A score under 50 is red. Choose a measurement to see where it lost points and why; choose it again to clear.
Procedure 4%Claims 68%Positioning 13%Reasoning 15%

This view breaks the statement into its steps and names what each one does.

Madam Speaker, Procedure · 20 wordsI rise today to raise what I have raised in this House many times: the problem with Canada’s mounting debt.Procedure Claims · 57 wordsWe talked about this back in the spring when I last asked a question about it. I have since heard throughout the summer about all kinds of spending the government wants to do that was not part of the $65-billion deficit that it indicated in last year’s spring update.1 Spending is continuing to mount with the government. Positioning · 28 wordsIt is as if we have a new economist as our Prime Minister who has not understood the problem with the escalating debt we have in this country.Positioning Procedure · 5 wordsLet me give some examples, ProcedurePositioning · 24 wordsbecause we are a basket case when we look at the total amount of debt that Canadians have, not just government debt in Canada.Positioning Claims · 59 wordsThe national government debt alone is approaching $1.5 trillion.2 Provincial debts on top of that amount to almost $1 trillion at this point in time.3 Of course, there is always the other debt, and that is the one that Canadians hold. Canadian individual household debt amounts to about $3.2 trillion, 4and then corporately Canadians have about $3.8 trillion outstanding.5 Positioning · 7 wordsThis is an amazing amount of debt.Positioning Claims · 52 wordsCombined, as an actual function of GDP, Canada, government-wise, has about 100% of its debt to GDP at the government level, about 101% at the household level and about 118% at the corporate level.6 That means 318% of Canada’s GDP is held in debt, debt that it has to pay interest on.7 Reasoning · 17 wordsWe are concerned here about the federal government’s debt, because I cannot argue about all the rest. Claims · 17 wordsThere are impacts throughout the rest of the debt based on what happens at the federal level. Reasoning · 61 wordsThe more the federal government spends, the more it goes into debt and the more it is going to have to pay in interest. The more it pays in interest, the more debt outstanding causes other interest rates to go up, including for all the financial debt outstanding to corporations and all the debt outstanding for mortgages and loans to consumers. Positioning · 7 wordsThis is a massive amount of money.Positioning Claims · 17 wordsWe have all seen that around the world, central banks are increasing their lending rates right now.Unearned certainty Reasoning · 26 wordsThat means that the debt profile is going to continue to go up and the amount of interest paid is going to continue to go up. Positioning · 9 wordsWhy is this so significant for the federal government?Positioning Claims · 47 wordsIt is because fully 29% of the Government of Canada’s outstanding debt is due within the next year.8 If we think about how much money is going to have to be refinanced, 29% of almost $1.5 trillion is going to be refinanced within the next 12 months. Positioning · 15 wordsThat is an amazing amount of money, first of all, to go to debt markets.Positioning Claims · 69 wordsSome of that is expiring debt, and some of it is going to be new debt. I think there is going to be more new debt with the way the government is spending money, but that is just what is expected to be renewed at this point in time. That will mean that the $57 billion Canadians are actually paying in interest payments right now is going to skyrocket.9 Procedure · 3 wordsThink about that.Procedure Claims · 152 wordsThink about the actual rate that the government pays right now, which is about 2.5%, 10as a debt profile across its full portfolio. Think about one-third of that falling off and paying 100 basis points more. This is fully one-third of $1.5 trillion, or $500 billion.11 Where we are paying 1% more, this is going to impact Canadians significantly. We are going to have higher debt payments and higher interest payments as a result of the government’s profligate spending. The issue we want to get to is how we get to a better spending profile. Short-term financing is not taken by the provinces. All the provinces have a much more flat, low-impact duration for when their payments are due.12 The federal government is the one that is the most ramped up toward the front end of the repayment schedule. When I heard the finance minister for the government talk this summer about—

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